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Survey suggests industry in recovery mode in 2010

A new survey from the Australian Industry Group (Ai Group) and Deloitte, called Industry in Recovery Mode in 2010, suggests that growth in ninety per cent of the economy represented by the manufacturing, construction and services sectors is going to be reasonably solid in the year ahead.

The report surveyed 514 CEOs in the manufacturing, services and construction sectors, and complements the strong showing expected from the mining sector, Ai Group claims.

“We are very pleased the economy is rebounding and looks set to consolidate this year with improving conditions anticipated across manufacturing, services and construction. However, the recovery is uneven and the rebound will not be as sharp as that which occurred following previous downturns. Despite the stronger sales and employment expectations, investment trends across these sectors remain soft and conservative,” Ai Group Chief Executive, Heather Ridout, said.

“We expect business performance in 2010 to reflect the positive drivers such as improving consumer confidence, rising household wealth and exposure to strong growth in China. Partially offsetting these positives will be the fading of fiscal stimulus, rising interest rates and the dampening impacts of the stronger dollar on exporting and import-competing businesses.

“The challenges for policy and for businesses will be to strengthen the recovery while addressing the ongoing requirement to build on the foundations of longer-term growth.”

Manufacturing partner for Deloitte, Damon Cantwell, advised businesses that 2010 would provide a range of opportunities for companies to recover ground.

“While 2009 was characterised as a year founded on survival, 2010 offers real opportunities for growth,” Cantwell said.

Cantwell warned companies to ensure they were across what the data was saying about how their individual sector was likely to fare through the recovery.

“The Ai Group CEO survey points to specific strategies that companies can adopt to position themselves to make the best of the recovery,” he said.

“This includes engaging with growth markets including China and India, and ensuring they are making the most of the support available through government initiatives for R&D and innovation.”

The survey claimed that an improvement in activity is expected in 2010 in all three sectors surveyed, although it is likely to be stronger in the services and manufacturing sectors than the construction sector.

It also said that improving consumer confidence in incomes growth and employment prospects, rising household wealth and exposure to strong growth in China will drive growth in the coming year.

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